• CALCULATING THE TIME FOR A SILENT EVENT THROUGH THE THRESHOLD LEVEL OF HIV SEROCONVERSION PERIOD

Abstract

As the world enters into the 30th year of the AIDS epidemic the common people have more response in preventing this dreadful disease. Mathematical and Statistical model is developed to obtain the expected time to reach the threshold level, in the context of HIV/AIDS with the assumptions that the times between decisions epochs are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) random variable. The numbers of exits at each period time are i.i.d random variables and that the threshold level is a random variable following Generalized Rayleigh distributions. From the obtained result one can estimate the time period of an infected patient.